Emerging Market Growth Intelligence
From external market opportunity to evidence-backed commercial decisions.
Opportunity Universe
Real geographic positions of reference markets. Click a market to explore its evidence.
Market Opportunities for Management Review
Candidates for deeper investigation — not a recommendation to enter any single market.
Opportunity vs. Capture Matrix
Market Opportunity ≠ Company Capture Potential.
Vertical axis shows observed 2025 company capture (brand HL ÷ indicative strong-beer pool) — a historical ratio, not a capture prediction. Quadrant lines: score 50 and median observed capture (2.38%). 8.6 volume may also come from outside the strong-beer segment, so ratios can be inflated where the pool is tiny.
No company history — unranked on capture. Not plotted to avoid fabricated estimates.
Decision Workflow
Company panel: 215 non-missing market-year observations within 33 markets (not 215 independent markets). 2024 has a reporting discontinuity and is excluded from model fitting until reconciled. The full panel is not bundled; upload it in Capture Potential.